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Evolution of Spot Rates

Evolution of Spot Rates
How does one calculate the change in spot rate from one quo­tation to the next? In case of direct quotation, it is given by the equation:
Change in Percentage = Rate N – Rate (N-1) x 100
                        Rate (N-1)

For example, the dollar rate has changed from Rs 42.50 to Rs 42.85; the change is calculated to be

        Change in Percentage =  42.85 - 42.50   x 100 percent or 0.909per cent
                                                       42.50

        Similarly, if the quotation is in indirect form, the percentage change is given by equation:
Change in percentage =Rate (N - 1) - Rate N    x 100 per cent
                                       Rate N

For example, the above rate has passed from 1/42.50 to 1/42.85 so the decrease in the rupee is
Change in Percentage = 1/42.50 – 1/42.85 x 100
                                                1/42.85

OR Change in Percentage= 0.02597 – 0.02574 x 100 or 0.89%
                                                0.02574
Cross Rate

Let us say an Indian importer is to settle his bill in Canadian dollars. His operation involves buying of Canadian dollars against rupees. In order to give him a Can $/Re rate, the banks should call for US $/Can $ and US $/Re quotes. That means that the bank is going to buy Canadian dollars against Ameri­can dollars and sell those Canadian dollars to the importer against rupees. Suppose the rates are


Can$/US$: 1.3333-63
Rupee/US $: 42.3004-3120

Finally, the importer will get the Canadian dollars at the fol­lowing rate:

Rupee/Can $ =42.3120 = Rs 31.7348/Can $
                                                        1.3333

            That is, importer buys US $ (or bank sells US $) at the rate of Rs 42.3120 per US $ and then buys Can $ at the buying rate of Can $ 1 .3333 per US $.

            So Rupee 31. 7348/Can $ is a cross rate as it has been derived from the rates already given as Rupee/US $ and Can $/ US $. So cross rate can be defined as a rate between a third pair of currencies, by using the rates of two pairs, in which one currency is common. It is basically a derived rate.

            Likewise, the buying rate would be obtained as Rs 31.4304/ Can $
(OR)
                                                           42.0004
1.3363

             Contains cross rates between different pairs of cur­rencies.
            In general, the equations can be used to find the cross rates between two currencies B and C, if the rates between A and B and between A and C are given:

                                    (B/C)bid = (B/A)bid x (A/C)bid                         
                                              (B/C)ask = (B/A)ask x (A/C)ask                        
Here
                                             (B/A)bid = (A/B)ask
and
                                              (B/A)ask = (A/B)bid




Example: Following rates are given: Rs 22/DM and Rs 6.60/FFr.
What is FFr/DM rate?
Solution: It is clear from the data that bid and ask rates are equal. Cross rate will give the relationship between FFr and DM:


                                                Rs22      1            = FFr22    x   FFr22     = FFr 3.3333/DM
                                                DM         Rs 6.60        DM 6.60     DM 6.60
                                                                    FFr
Example: From the following rates, find out Re/DM relation­ship:
Re/US $: 42.1000/3650
DM/US$: 1.5020/5100
Solution: Applying the equations we get
                                        (Re/DM)bid = (Re/US $)bid x (US $/DM)bid
                                                                                       = 42.1000 x 1/ (1.5100)
                                                           = 27.8808
                                       
                                        (Re/DM)ask = (Re/US $)ask x (US $/DM)ask
                                                                                             = 42.3650 x l/(1.5020)
                                                           = 28.2057
So, the Re/DM relationship is
                                                        27.8808-28.2057

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