The
announcement on changes in import and excise duties for motor vehicles caused
many questions to be raised. Consumers and industry players had waited long for
the government to unveil the new tax structure, which is meant to meet the
requirements of the Asean Free Trade Area (AFTA). Much of the anticipation had
been built on the hope that car prices will soon be significantly lower.
However, when it finally came, the announcement caused disappointment to many
people because it did not clear the uncertainty about how much cars would cost
in Malaysia
under AFTA. However, there was still room for optimism. Observers pointed out
that the Dec 31 statement from Prime Minister Datuk Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi
was a step forward. According to a senior executive of a foreign car company,
there was still some light, albeit a dim one, at the end of the tunnel. There
are contrasting views on whether motor prices would actually come down with the
implementation of the new tariffs. After a day-long meeting, officials from a
foreign car make concluded that the price of their premium two-litre model may
increase by between RM10,000 and RM12,000. They also believe that the company's
range of lower engine capacity cars would cost slightly more. This in turn goes
against the general perception that cars would be cheaper when AFTA is in
place. A check with a Honda showroom in Kuala
Lumpur revealed that the local distributor was
discussing the implications of the new structure. Meanwhile, the sales
personnel could not tell customers how the prices would change, if at all.
However, an investment analyst covering motor stocks
mentioned that there would be a price dip of 5 to 6 per cent for all foreign
marques below the engine capacity of 1,800 cc. Local auto players Perusahaan
Otomobil Nasional Bhd (Proton) and Perusahaan Otomobil Kedua Sdn Bhd (Perodua)
would consequently face a price hike of up to 3 per cent. Ultimately, the
choice is tough, for the companies have to swallow the effects of the new
tariffs or pass these on to the car buyers. A news report quoted Perodua
managing director Tan Sri Ab Rahman Omar as saying that there would be no hike
in the second national car's prices because the company enjoys exemption of
excise duties until the end of the year 2004. But the investment analyst
believes that Perodua may have to absorb any increase under the new tax
structure if the company were to stick to its current car prices. According to
an analyst from a bank-backed research outfit, even the most basic of
information is unclear. He questions whether the national marques will be
included under the Asean vehicle category or would these be classified
separately under the national car category.
An industry observer
asks about the status of vehicles assembled by Naza Kia Sdn Bhd, a joint
venture between Naza Group and Kia Motor Corp of South Korea , and it’s fit under the
Asean car banner. Naza Kia officials have revealed the company's intention to
venture into the one-litre motorcar segment, thus threatening to give Proton
and Perodua a run for their money. Some industry insiders thought that such a
thing would only be feasible if Naza Kia entered the exclusive club of national
car makers.
To address the many unanswered questions in the wake of the
announcement, Malaysian Automotive Association president Aishah Ahmad organised
a meeting with government officials. The higher excise duties in the new tax
structure are meant to compensate the loss of revenue owing to the lower import
duties. It is probable that Malaysia
would not be alone among Asean countries to introduce such a measure. The Philippines ,
for example, has considered a similar move. Industry observers have also
wondered about the fate of Proton under AFTA, with both Proton and Perodua
enjoying a 50 per cent discount on excise duties, which will end on Dec 31 2004 . Come January
2005, there will apparently be a level playing field, with questions being
asked as to how Proton would cope with the burden of higher excise duties.
According to a motoring analyst, Proton's market share has already slid. The
new Campro engine released along side the new models have to be really good for
Proton to remain competitive. As such, there is a lot of pressure on Proton to
perform. Proton, which launched a new model in March of 2004, has aimed to
boost sales and maintain the company's dominant position in the local
automobile market.
Most industry observers agree that Perodua is competitive,
having sold several successful models. The second national car company is also
looking to release an Asean car, which is targeted at capitalising on the AFTA
framework. Until end-October 2003, total passenger car sales (national and
non-national) fell by some 18.6 per cent to 230,132 units from the previous
corresponding period. However, non-national car sales surged by some 63.8 per cent
from 26,034 units to 42,651. Proton has already felt the pinch. For the first
half year of its financial year ended September 2003, Proton registered a net
profit of RM361.49 million on the back of a RM3.64 billion turnover. This was a
year-on-year decline of some 43 per cent and 32 per cent. However, few people
believe that the government would leave Proton totally unprotected. A
high-ranking official from the local motor industry has been quoted as saying
that in the same way it had been known about a year ago that the AFTA
regulations would not result in cheaper cars, it is also known that there will
be more announcements on measures to safeguard the local motor industry.
An industry observer points out that even the new tax
structure for vehicles with engines above 1.8 litres is aimed at sparing Proton
some hardship. Other than the Proton Perdana, which is a 2.0-litre car, the
rest of Proton's models are at or below 1.8 litres.
Others in
the industry believe that the new tax structure was intentionally left
open-ended, with the idea being to fill the gaps gradually, allowing time to
see how Proton's new Wira replacement
model would fare after its launch.
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